MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7757f48b239d7bddd3d283bf1a31a9aab178f9dd271bd4f0fa5e3794ec3e0d0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 39,514$23,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,530.44 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 14,253$5,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,551.86 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 11,288$7,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,130.79 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 9,042$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,647.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 7,317$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.07 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 4,448$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.46 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 3,701$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 3,472$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.13 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 2,587$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.48 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 2,059$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.22 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 2,048$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.56 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 1,723$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 1,680$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.6 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 1,646$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.12 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 1,384$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.64 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 1,012$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.1 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 964.91$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 866.48$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 861.93$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.82 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 845$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.02 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 682$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.2 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 584$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.95 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a0…7827backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 516.05$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 423.02$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.58 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 298$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.81 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 227.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 207.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.91 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 186.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 171.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 144.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 133.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 130$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 127.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 109.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 106.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…053abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 83.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 80.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 73.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…53babacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 68.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 64.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca8…5795backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 58.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 56.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 40.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 30.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 27.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 24.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.