Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fe8b25914ffa4689dc9fc1a3e6f274f91940f1f696bbc8f63b16827c44f2c4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim Red Forceof BNK FEARX, Nongshim Red Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked BNK FEARX | 31c | 32,250$9,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,997.49 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…f601backed Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 27,235$18,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,442.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 17,000$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked BNK FEARX | 30c | 14,287$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.21 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 8,500$5,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked BNK FEARX | 31c | 8,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 7,090$4,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.99 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 5,100$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked BNK FEARX | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…9207backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…98c0backed Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 2,621$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 2,265$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.5 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nongshim Red Force | 74c | 1,761$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.37 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 1,634$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.48 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 1,177$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed BNK FEARX | 26c | 1,164$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.82 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 984.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.35 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Nongshim Red Force | 68c | 895.11$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.43 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 880$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 606$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.86 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 562.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 529.79$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.23 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed BNK FEARX | 21c | 505.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked BNK FEARX | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 246 | 48.4%119 W · 127 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2208backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Nongshim Red Force | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 288 | 59%170 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 384.56$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 376.18$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 360$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nongshim Red Force | 74c | 358.77$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 258.26$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 220.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1f…c47bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 202.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 200.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked BNK FEARX | 23c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked BNK FEARX | 20c | 177$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 177$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 164.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked BNK FEARX | 29c | 156.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 142.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…b8d3backed Nongshim Red Force | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 116.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nongshim Red Force | 78c | 111.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…34cabacked Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 105.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 156 | 73.1%114 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nongshim Red Force | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nongshim Red Force | 78c | 55.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked BNK FEARX | 30c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 497 | 56.3%280 W · 217 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked BNK FEARX | 25c | 50.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 49.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Nongshim Red Force | 72c | 48.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 42.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 37.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…d192backed Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 27.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…d5e9backed Nongshim Red Force | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 306 | 66.3%203 W · 103 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb975…a315backed Nongshim Red Force | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…05c0backed Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Nongshim Red Force | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 72c | 17.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…a6a3backed Nongshim Red Force | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 15.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b4…624ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 71c | 14.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.