Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ee131e42ca254e7f11f245b1abcfe658ea4737537981fe73bc90f882fb545b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 3,356$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.39 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 50c | 1,056$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.17 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Under | 55c | 908.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Under | 49c | 490.2$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.2 | 520 | 45%234 W · 286 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 69c | 470.43$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 48c | 354.45$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 308.12$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.15 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 50c | 217.48$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.74 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 48c | 173$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 48c | 168.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 52c | 159.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd880…56ebbacked Under | 50c | 123.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Under | 46c | 120.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…d2babacked Over | 50c | 93.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 45c | 91.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Over | 50c | 90.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 24c | 80.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Over | 75c | 68.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 63c | 66.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 23c | 58.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 48c | 54.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 49c | 51.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 42.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 48c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbb…6cc7backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 37c | 36.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 51c | 35.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 62c | 34.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 30c | 33.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…06f9backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 50c | 22.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…85e2backed Under | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…5ae6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 51c | 19.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.