TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marsborneof LAG Gaming, Marsborne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,777 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Marsborne66c24,823$16,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,340.035,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked LAG Gaming34c10,000$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.3775652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked LAG Gaming32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6006454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Marsborne68c3,264$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.982,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed LAG Gaming26c2,976$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.641,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked LAG Gaming38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76025344.3%112 W · 141 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed LAG Gaming32c1,713$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.1110946.8%51 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Marsborne62c1,516$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.223,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed LAG Gaming49c1,221$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.1223356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed LAG Gaming32c1,141$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.1752150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Marsborne62c1,020$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.471,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed LAG Gaming32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3207751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed LAG Gaming33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33013142%55 W · 76 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Marsborne65c963.57$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.1746555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked LAG Gaming24c843.72$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.633,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked LAG Gaming39c726.22$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.955954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed LAG Gaming15c640$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938442.9%36 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed LAG Gaming32c600$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19499148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3783…0038backed Marsborne68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.247638.2%29 W · 47 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba4f…b37bbacked LAG Gaming33c587$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.711533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed LAG Gaming35c529.74$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7137848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b88…16e6backed LAG Gaming31c480.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015823.4%37 W · 121 L-18.0wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-44.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed LAG Gaming34c461.84$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.235839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked LAG Gaming36c445.94$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4344747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Marsborne65c403$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0559755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Marsborne69c392.46$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.421,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed LAG Gaming15c373.69$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.072,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed LAG Gaming34c365.48$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2661154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Marsborne62c307.1$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.747054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…a142backed LAG Gaming32c304$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.285244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df9…0965backed LAG Gaming39c297.3$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.951573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+47.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Marsborne60c272.28$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9184958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed LAG Gaming25c269.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.934,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfef6…c725backed LAG Gaming32c266$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.672152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked LAG Gaming33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.512727.6%35 W · 92 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Marsborne49c246.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8969732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2108…d3ddbacked LAG Gaming36c239.04$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Marsborne64c231.39$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.375833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b39…d3d5backed LAG Gaming47c213.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdecf…2957backed Marsborne62c177.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.421963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe559…b262backed LAG Gaming36c173.25$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.372245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed LAG Gaming34c173$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8244552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked LAG Gaming30c167.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.494,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked LAG Gaming39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6048242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Marsborne61c153.61$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.879837.8%37 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed LAG Gaming35c145$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.751,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed LAG Gaming33c140$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.814344.1%63 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked LAG Gaming37c136$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3235131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed LAG Gaming36c128.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3222567.1%151 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed LAG Gaming35c120.59$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2140639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…59c6backed LAG Gaming23c120$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276920.3%14 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked LAG Gaming38c112.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7346447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed LAG Gaming39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3917041.2%70 W · 100 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked LAG Gaming36c93.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8220957.4%120 W · 89 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed LAG Gaming12c93.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2339440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked LAG Gaming35c91.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.942255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked LAG Gaming25c90$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.121,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed Marsborne67c78$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5414356.6%81 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed LAG Gaming33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Marsborne62c75.08$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.531,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed LAG Gaming31c72.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5933627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed LAG Gaming38c72.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.621,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed Marsborne61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.310441.3%43 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012b…7c42backed LAG Gaming39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259044.4%40 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Marsborne63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4983856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa729…1d4abacked LAG Gaming32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked LAG Gaming32c61.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5915441.6%64 W · 90 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed LAG Gaming35c59.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0141437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed LAG Gaming53c58.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1561054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed LAG Gaming48c58.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1312750.4%64 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed LAG Gaming21c57.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.122,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf4…0e3dbacked LAG Gaming39c57.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.396043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d0…6cbabacked LAG Gaming32c51.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.62860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked LAG Gaming38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195450%27 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Marsborne66c49.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6922053.2%117 W · 103 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked LAG Gaming28c48.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6872353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc262…6587backed LAG Gaming39c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.553357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Marsborne70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8629156.7%165 W · 126 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Marsborne56c42.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.96,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Marsborne61c41.55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.041,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffae…55c0backed LAG Gaming35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411632.8%38 W · 78 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ee…0439backed LAG Gaming38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.29548.4%46 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Marsborne43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.82,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfae…155ebacked LAG Gaming32c39.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.871216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb627…d968backed LAG Gaming36c37.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3318663.4%118 W · 68 L+14.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41bb…1999backed LAG Gaming38c36.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.725448.1%26 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Marsborne61c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.742,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Marsborne62c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.932,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed LAG Gaming35c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3532554.8%178 W · 147 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b4…6815backed Marsborne66c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8623465%152 W · 82 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Marsborne68c28.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.038658.1%50 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08bf…c637backed Marsborne67c26.12$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb476…ddc2backed Marsborne67c23.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6512351.2%63 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5edf…7139backed Marsborne66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.732955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Marsborne64c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9667372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Marsborne61c21.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3564854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Marsborne68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.420755.1%114 W · 93 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed Marsborne62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.633849.7%168 W · 170 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1f…f2f8backed Marsborne70c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.78163%51 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Marsborne61c16.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.585054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.