CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf615488ce20110416460daec90270d275ab746906a67b9053dcf05da8460f6b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marsborneof LAG Gaming, Marsborne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LAG Gaming | 66c | 214.61$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked LAG Gaming | 44c | 176.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marsborne | 41c | 168.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Marsborne | 62c | 164.01$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Marsborne | 35c | 147$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LAG Gaming | 51c | 120.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…e6fcbacked Marsborne | 60c | 116.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b6…eec6backed Marsborne | 52c | 101.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Marsborne | 24c | 99.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Marsborne | 47c | 98.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 389 | 41.9%163 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LAG Gaming | 57c | 81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Marsborne | 26c | 62.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Marsborne | 62c | 58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LAG Gaming | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed LAG Gaming | 70c | 48.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LAG Gaming | 47c | 45.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked LAG Gaming | 35c | 41.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LAG Gaming | 54c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked LAG Gaming | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LAG Gaming | 64c | 26.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed LAG Gaming | 49c | 25.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked LAG Gaming | 53c | 25.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked LAG Gaming | 70c | 16.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LAG Gaming | 69c | 16.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Marsborne - Map 2 WinnerMarsborne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.