Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aba6a5120252fbd550b89048229ce5081da71b0ea27a7610b9306e4c73fed24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Gamingof GIANTX, SK Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked GIANTX | 1c | 20,824$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.24 | 489 | 44.4%217 W · 272 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed GIANTX | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…3220backed SK Gaming | 63c | 5,945$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.68 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadba…a6e2backed SK Gaming | 64c | 2,717$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.07 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…9722backed SK Gaming | 64c | 2,250$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed GIANTX | 37c | 2,222$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.14 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed GIANTX | 36c | 2,195$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.15 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed GIANTX | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…b4cabacked GIANTX | 36c | 1,931$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked SK Gaming | 63c | 1,530$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.17 | 969 | 48.6%471 W · 498 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed GIANTX | 36c | 1,440$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SK Gaming | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed GIANTX | 37c | 648.65$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed SK Gaming | 65c | 565.71$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SK Gaming | 67c | 561$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked GIANTX | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed SK Gaming | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 649 | 43.1%280 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed GIANTX | 37c | 432.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked GIANTX | 37c | 360$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…977bbacked GIANTX | 37c | 297.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed SK Gaming | 65c | 295.38$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 397 | 55.4%220 W · 177 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed SK Gaming | 65c | 295$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed SK Gaming | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 655 | 63.2%414 W · 241 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed GIANTX | 36c | 214.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 266 | 41%109 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed GIANTX | 37c | 175.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GIANTX | 36c | 160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed SK Gaming | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed GIANTX | 36c | 142$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 261 | 49%128 W · 133 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed GIANTX | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…2737backed SK Gaming | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked GIANTX | 28c | 122.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed GIANTX | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…ca3abacked GIANTX | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed GIANTX | 36c | 73.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked GIANTX | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked GIANTX | 36c | 61.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1,456 | 13.2%192 W · 1,264 L | -111.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked SK Gaming | 65c | 52.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed SK Gaming | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed GIANTX | 36c | 33.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 405 | 51.1%207 W · 198 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…26abbacked GIANTX | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 543 | 29.8%162 W · 381 L | -19.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked GIANTX | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked SK Gaming | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…59debacked SK Gaming | 62c | 17.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?SK Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonSK Gaming won
- LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSK Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.