TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Imperialof Imperial, largadosypelados
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x048f…9992backed largadosypelados1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial60c1,259$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.55,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked largadosypelados40c541.05$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.085,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Imperial80c477.89$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.811,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed largadosypelados23c338.07$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.261,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d6…e7acbacked largadosypelados41c186.37$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.052352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Imperial70c182.51$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.011,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed largadosypelados40c165.12$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0551348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed largadosypelados43c164.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010249%50 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked largadosypelados20c129.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.114,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked largadosypelados25c120.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.624,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa091…f1c1backed largadosypelados31c117$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.279737.1%36 W · 61 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed largadosypelados19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20806.3%5 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-63.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Imperial69c104$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.241,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4036…0dd9backed Imperial61c100.59$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.232948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked largadosypelados37c78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.142,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed largadosypelados29c75.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.034,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed largadosypelados42c68.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.561,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed largadosypelados30c39.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.666436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb4f…6e10backed Imperial79c17.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.818871.8%135 W · 53 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Imperial69c17.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.312,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.