CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa970fd34b83e81cf4335442c0dc1f31865036b83bd44baca61210a2f6d8b5270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, largadosypelados
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed largadosypelados | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed largadosypelados | 27c | 1,134$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.6 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 68c | 644.75$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 59c | 605.89$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.3 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed largadosypelados | 33c | 505.01$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.84 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked largadosypelados | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.82 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Imperial | 64c | 473.31$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Imperial | 70c | 319.64$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…0dd9backed largadosypelados | 43c | 302.59$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.47 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked largadosypelados | 43c | 278$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked largadosypelados | 41c | 212.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked largadosypelados | 46c | 209.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked largadosypelados | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Imperial | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Imperial | 57c | 191.22$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed largadosypelados | 41c | 163.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Imperial | 52c | 142.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed largadosypelados | 31c | 140.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Imperial | 69c | 136$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Imperial | 75c | 132.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial | 60c | 125.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…e432backed Imperial | 66c | 121.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed largadosypelados | 46c | 97.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Imperial | 65c | 81.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Imperial | 69c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed largadosypelados | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed Imperial | 63c | 65.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Imperial | 58c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Imperial | 72c | 53.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked largadosypelados | 42c | 52.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked largadosypelados | 42c | 49.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Imperial | 64c | 48.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Imperial | 71c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Imperial | 69c | 47.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed largadosypelados | 42c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…cc69backed largadosypelados | 46c | 43.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked largadosypelados | 30c | 42.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked largadosypelados | 45c | 40.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Imperial | 52c | 39.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Imperial | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Imperial | 51c | 36.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed largadosypelados | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked largadosypelados | 43c | 35.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed largadosypelados | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Imperial | 69c | 30.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked largadosypelados | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Imperial | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Imperial | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked largadosypelados | 39c | 28.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Imperial | 57c | 28.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed largadosypelados | 43c | 25.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Imperial | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Imperial | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Imperial | 69c | 20.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Imperial | 59c | 20.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Imperial | 61c | 19.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Imperial | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs largadosypelados - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.