MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8aca306fe51b849f5f3902a398192a358873c7153da6d2e4a9db32e0ac5b7ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Samsung Lions | 24c | 4,481$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.61 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…8239backed LG Twins | 66c | 3,791$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed LG Twins | 48c | 3,620$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.72 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 35c | 1,556$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.27 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 74c | 1,399$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.4 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Samsung Lions | 54c | 1,373$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.81 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 44c | 1,221$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.87 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 767.78$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.74 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…0665backed LG Twins | 29c | 631.24$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 582.43$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.92 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed LG Twins | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 493.2$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.87 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Samsung Lions | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 344$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.57 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked LG Twins | 47c | 291.74$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.62 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed LG Twins | 48c | 290.1$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.85 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 245.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed LG Twins | 76c | 237.05$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…edffbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48b…136fbacked Samsung Lions | 18c | 199.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 63c | 197.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Samsung Lions | 52c | 197$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 196.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 195.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed LG Twins | 48c | 179.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…c500backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 154.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LG Twins | 54c | 144$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Samsung Lions | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Samsung Lions | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -82%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked LG Twins | 48c | 114.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked LG Twins | 26c | 113.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed LG Twins | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +11.4wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Samsung Lions | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed LG Twins | 48c | 110.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed LG Twins | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…88b6backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Samsung Lions | 52c | 93.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked LG Twins | 48c | 89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 79.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 79.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed LG Twins | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 72.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x579c…ff45backed Samsung Lions | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed LG Twins | 58c | 68.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…c001backed LG Twins | 49c | 64.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed LG Twins | 48c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…6358backed LG Twins | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9c83backed LG Twins | 35c | 57.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Samsung Lions | 78c | 57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1330…b4b5backed LG Twins | 48c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 49.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 49.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Samsung Lions | 26c | 46.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Samsung Lions | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…3288backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Samsung Lions | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked LG Twins | 48c | 30.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…96c3backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 25.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…1501backed LG Twins | 50c | 25.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 76c | 25.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdab…b5a2backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…5d69backed LG Twins | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…75e3backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed LG Twins | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed LG Twins | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Samsung Lions | 66c | 20.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…fd0ebacked LG Twins | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.