CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Overtake (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96768b6c8f8e7396604fa10f4ae49598085972067d1871b1135ab9f68ef45a28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LAG Gamingof LAG Gaming, Overtake
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Overtake | 1c | 2,040$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 110 | 2.7%3 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LAG Gaming | 75c | 715.3$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Overtake | 22c | 553.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Overtake | 18c | 341.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Overtake | 6c | 333.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LAG Gaming | 63c | 298.55$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed LAG Gaming | 70c | 269.44$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Overtake | 30c | 263.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed LAG Gaming | 70c | 255$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed LAG Gaming | 64c | 252.56$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Overtake | 10c | 249.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Overtake | 6c | 230.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Overtake | 34c | 229.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Overtake | 30c | 219.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Overtake | 44c | 195.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LAG Gaming | 66c | 169.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed LAG Gaming | 60c | 161.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed LAG Gaming | 70c | 153$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked LAG Gaming | 67c | 148.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Overtake | 16c | 147.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Overtake | 10c | 137.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…aaaebacked LAG Gaming | 80c | 125.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 61cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…eb2bbacked Overtake | 22c | 125.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Overtake | 17c | 102.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Overtake | 15c | 92.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked LAG Gaming | 69c | 83.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed LAG Gaming | 67c | 80.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Overtake | 42c | 76.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Overtake | 29c | 75.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed LAG Gaming | 70c | 75.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Overtake | 15c | 68.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Overtake | 33c | 54.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Overtake | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Overtake | 29c | 48.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked LAG Gaming | 70c | 24.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked LAG Gaming | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Overtake (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Overtake - Map 1 WinnerLAG Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Overtake - Map 2 WinnerLAG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.