CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Overtake - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb24c6f67f5d18d67c1cf66a6cbbe915d524aa9e324a2d1de7749dc24df42c545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LAG Gamingof LAG Gaming, Overtake
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Overtake | 21c | 798.15$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.71 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LAG Gaming | 78c | 749.88$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Overtake | 13c | 398.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Overtake | 24c | 356.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Overtake | 20c | 238.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…0968backed Overtake | 24c | 205.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Overtake | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Overtake | 23c | 191.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LAG Gaming | 77c | 182.85$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Overtake | 29c | 167.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Overtake | 13c | 136.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d1…b77abacked Overtake | 11c | 128.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed LAG Gaming | 72c | 124.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Overtake | 22c | 122.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Overtake | 23c | 115.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Overtake | 13c | 114.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Overtake | 11c | 106.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Overtake | 12c | 100.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Overtake | 17c | 87.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Overtake | 22c | 83.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Overtake | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Overtake | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Overtake | 25c | 71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae4…7084backed LAG Gaming | 74c | 67.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Overtake | 23c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed Overtake | 40c | 60.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Overtake | 20c | 53.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LAG Gaming | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Overtake | 28c | 36.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LAG Gaming | 74c | 34.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed LAG Gaming | 74c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed LAG Gaming | 70c | 15.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa17b…95cbbacked LAG Gaming | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Overtake - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Overtake (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier PlayoffsLAG Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Overtake - Map 1 WinnerLAG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.