Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34ce9a845ec0c7bee2d2cfa5924dbad4326cdb09a45f6c9813e12858fc89d954
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Spirit Academy, Team Syntax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Syntax | 36c | 4,034$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.74 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Syntax | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit Academy | 68c | 1,486$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.48 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…5cb1backed Team Syntax | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Team Syntax | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Spirit Academy | 66c | 214.26$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Team Syntax | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Spirit Academy | 69c | 154.79$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…285dbacked Spirit Academy | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team Syntax | 29c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Spirit Academy | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…b4e9backed Spirit Academy | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Spirit Academy | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Syntax (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsSpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Syntax - Game 2 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.