Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Syntax (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a878bbd3cbedc1c9c2629a64985354655b9f39f3f7ddadac406f413ed14ad1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Spirit Academy, Team Syntax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Syntax | 37c | 2,172$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.76 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…5cb1backed Team Syntax | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Syntax | 15c | 995.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.76 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Team Syntax | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Syntax | 39c | 430.87$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.94 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spirit Academy | 79c | 306$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit Academy | 74c | 286.29$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Team Syntax | 40c | 229.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spirit Academy | 64c | 228.93$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +11.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +46%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Spirit Academy | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Team Syntax | 38c | 157.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Team Syntax | 19c | 137$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Spirit Academy | 73c | 136.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Spirit Academy | 72c | 129.12$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Syntax | 24c | 127.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spirit Academy | 66c | 121.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Spirit Academy | 65c | 120.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Spirit Academy | 79c | 120.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Syntax | 21c | 107.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Spirit Academy | 80c | 103$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Spirit Academy | 75c | 102.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Spirit Academy | 60c | 100.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spirit Academy | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…f39fbacked Team Syntax | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Team Syntax | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…f654backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 96.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Syntax | 42c | 94.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Team Syntax | 33c | 89.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Spirit Academy | 55c | 73.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit Academy | 71c | 65.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Syntax | 24c | 61.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f6…79c0backed Team Syntax | 33c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spirit Academy | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Spirit Academy | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +13.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Team Syntax | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…b4e9backed Team Syntax | 29c | 38.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 36.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Team Syntax | 36c | 35.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Syntax | 51c | 32.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Spirit Academy | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 21.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Spirit Academy | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Spirit Academy | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Spirit Academy | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…b299backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Syntax (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Syntax - Game 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Syntax - Game 2 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.