Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Belgium vs Gibraltar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa58d8dcc56ae3744fa4a568eef1bc63bc195f506fb5de45e676089ea7559b935
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belgiumof Belgium, Gibraltar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Gibraltar | 14c | 3,323$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.7 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Gibraltar | 9c | 649.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gibraltar | 11c | 620.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gibraltar | 10c | 590.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed Belgium | 77c | 405.65$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Belgium | 77c | 352.32$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gibraltar | 28c | 315.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Gibraltar | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Gibraltar | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Gibraltar | 22c | 299.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Gibraltar | 19c | 280.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Gibraltar | 14c | 264.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b68…08bbbacked Belgium | 77c | 242$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Belgium | 80c | 229.8$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Gibraltar | 13c | 223$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Gibraltar | 33c | 142.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b45fbacked Gibraltar | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Belgium | 80c | 126.34$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Gibraltar | 15c | 98.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Gibraltar | 20c | 97.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Gibraltar | 14c | 93.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Gibraltar | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Gibraltar | 16c | 80.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Gibraltar | 13c | 80.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Gibraltar | 20c | 77.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b71…43e4backed Belgium | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Gibraltar | 30c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Belgium | 73c | 56.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Belgium | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e3…71fcbacked Belgium | 80c | 37.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4896…7431backed Belgium | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Belgium | 70c | 20.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…3f5fbacked Belgium | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.