Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Romania vs Gibraltar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45ef65f8622e1ad59d33af5633a377869c5dbd658d91035f8ee60c1414a01db7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Romaniaof Romania, Gibraltar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Gibraltar | 12c | 1,053$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gibraltar | 10c | 975.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…a43cbacked Romania | 78c | 792.01$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.21 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Gibraltar | 16c | 660.87$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Gibraltar | 15c | 646.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gibraltar | 9c | 632.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gibraltar | 16c | 451.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Gibraltar | 25c | 416$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Romania | 78c | 362.59$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Gibraltar | 16c | 293.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Gibraltar | 12c | 258.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Gibraltar | 7c | 254$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Gibraltar | 17c | 242.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gibraltar | 16c | 241.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Gibraltar | 8c | 230$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…b914backed Gibraltar | 8c | 210$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Gibraltar | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Romania | 78c | 193.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Gibraltar | 16c | 185.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Gibraltar | 34c | 159.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed Romania | 77c | 156.39$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…40d8backed Romania | 65c | 153.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Gibraltar | 15c | 129.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Romania | 67c | 126.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Gibraltar | 19c | 124.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Romania | 76c | 123.51$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Romania | 72c | 112.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Romania | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Romania | 54c | 109.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Romania | 77c | 100.34$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Romania | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Romania | 59c | 96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Romania | 79c | 91.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…ba60backed Romania | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Romania | 65c | 61.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…8ddfbacked Romania | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed Romania | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…fdfcbacked Romania | 78c | 34.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…8f46backed Romania | 73c | 29.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Romania | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Romania | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Romania | 75c | 13.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Romania | 80c | 13.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.