Tennis · resolved market
Iasi: Titouan Droguet vs Luka Pavlovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90fb09fc3ac189c8b84ecd8bbb24e201f509eba34460404c14915a0873475b19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Titouan Droguetof Titouan Droguet, Luka Pavlovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41cf…6002backed Luka Pavlovic | 20c | 19,590$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Titouan Droguet | 78c | 10,808$8,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.14 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 5c | 1,077$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Titouan Droguet | 71c | 860.05$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.9 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Luka Pavlovic | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…b87fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 15c | 405.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Luka Pavlovic | 12c | 388.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 251 | 58.6%147 W · 104 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e93…9145backed Luka Pavlovic | 18c | 334.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Titouan Droguet | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Luka Pavlovic | 27c | 317$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Luka Pavlovic | 7c | 285.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Titouan Droguet | 71c | 282$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 19c | 249.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Luka Pavlovic | 29c | 243.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Luka Pavlovic | 29c | 235.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Luka Pavlovic | 7c | 205$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 27c | 203.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Luka Pavlovic | 10c | 198.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Luka Pavlovic | 6c | 172.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Titouan Droguet | 79c | 163.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Luka Pavlovic | 28c | 157.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Titouan Droguet | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Luka Pavlovic | 29c | 133.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Titouan Droguet | 70c | 122.57$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Luka Pavlovic | 26c | 84.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Luka Pavlovic | 23c | 75.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Titouan Droguet | 72c | 71.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Luka Pavlovic | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Luka Pavlovic | 19c | 52.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Luka Pavlovic | 21c | 50.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Luka Pavlovic | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Titouan Droguet | 71c | 38.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Titouan Droguet | 72c | 28.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…77a0backed Titouan Droguet | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 62 | 75.8%47 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Titouan Droguet | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Titouan Droguet | 59c | 18.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…099fbacked Titouan Droguet | 80c | 16.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.