Other European Leagues · resolved market
Halmstads BK vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd56a248742473afc3d061df67bb767aeaec9e180c75bf4f7eb3483c76ac1edae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 51c | 3,012$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.73 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 51c | 2,297$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.5 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,093$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 12c | 791.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 266.48$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 39c | 261.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under | 47c | 229.43$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 188.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 67c | 177.32$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Under | 7c | 142.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 53c | 138.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 114.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 49c | 103.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 94.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 73c | 87.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 49c | 79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 58c | 68.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 49c | 51.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Over | 53c | 36.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…ce0bbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Over | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Under | 50c | 24.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 52c | 21.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Halmstads BK vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Halmstads BK vs. Vasteraas SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Halmstads BK vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Halmstads BK vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Halmstads BK vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Halmstads BK vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Vasteraas SK (-1.5)Vasteraas SK won
- Spread: Vasteraas SK (-2.5)Halmstads BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.