Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Romania vs Serbia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32c82951633f0a71a071ee44e497f56f8d537e2569f782e62c66132291daa533
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Romaniaof Romania, Serbia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Serbia | 2c | 3,523$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Serbia | 7c | 1,927$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Serbia | 6c | 1,690$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 235 | 34.5%81 W · 154 L | -18.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Serbia | 14c | 687.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Romania | 80c | 552.94$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Serbia | 3c | 413.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 271 | 29.5%80 W · 191 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Serbia | 11c | 293.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 325 | 40.9%133 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Serbia | 12c | 239.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Serbia | 13c | 220.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Serbia | 15c | 197.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Serbia | 7c | 183.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Serbia | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Serbia | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Serbia | 14c | 178$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Serbia | 12c | 175.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Romania | 79c | 153.21$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Serbia | 14c | 147.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Serbia | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Serbia | 17c | 131.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Serbia | 12c | 121.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Serbia | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Romania | 76c | 105.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…8ddfbacked Romania | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…ae3dbacked Serbia | 14c | 99.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Romania | 73c | 87.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Serbia | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Serbia | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 221 | 36.2%80 W · 141 L | -24.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Serbia | 23c | 69.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 262 | 48.1%126 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Serbia | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Serbia | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Serbia | 33c | 51.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Romania | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…03d3backed Serbia | 22c | 46.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +62%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Romania | 66c | 24.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…fdfcbacked Romania | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Romania | 80c | 13.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.