Valorant · resolved market
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e88fc93deefc9475042a95cd56dc69cbef388be48184108cc01480377057602
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof Leviatán Esports, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0500…6158backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 1,946$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Leviatán Esports | 49c | 1,185$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked Leviatán Esports | 47c | 1,033$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.03 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Leviatán Esports | 47c | 501$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.53 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Leviatán Esports | 48c | 501$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.52 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Leviatán Esports | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed FURIA Esports | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Leviatán Esports | 22c | 472.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +520.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Leviatán Esports | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leviatán Esports | 25c | 298.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.16 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Leviatán Esports | 39c | 266.58$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.45 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…5699backed FURIA Esports | 58c | 260.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Leviatán Esports | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Leviatán Esports | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed FURIA Esports | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Leviatán Esports | 44c | 30.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)FURIA Esports won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.