Valorant · resolved market
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9055686fd2b4886ab4365963f3390d161f005d2363531496cdb3291887e6f479
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 55c | 501$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.45 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked Under | 54c | 423.44$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.78 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Under | 55c | 421.04$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 165.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Under | 47c | 98.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 55c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4302…b736backed Under | 80c | 48.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 37.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Over | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)FURIA Esports won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.