Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a5544d3f55375d7ab00eb04731132c91ddcc6cd0b38c2b34cf17910b52298f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof Leviatán Esports, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FURIA Esports | 25c | 1,988$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.41 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…20e4backed FURIA Esports | 3c | 1,833$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports | 27c | 1,262$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.94 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Leviatán Esports | 74c | 1,077$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.56 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Leviatán Esports | 74c | 797.77$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.67 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed Leviatán Esports | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Leviatán Esports | 72c | 443.97$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Leviatán Esports | 69c | 345.06$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Leviatán Esports | 72c | 339.14$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed FURIA Esports | 31c | 325.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed FURIA Esports | 25c | 321.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Leviatán Esports | 80c | 250.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…a3ebbacked FURIA Esports | 23c | 249.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked FURIA Esports | 26c | 225.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Leviatán Esports | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked FURIA Esports | 36c | 199.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705c…317dbacked FURIA Esports | 30c | 183.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Leviatán Esports | 66c | 132.46$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports | 26c | 104.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA Esports | 27c | 103.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FURIA Esports | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed Leviatán Esports | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FURIA Esports | 27c | 98.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FURIA Esports | 27c | 82.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed FURIA Esports | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FURIA Esports | 26c | 77.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed FURIA Esports | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Leviatán Esports | 67c | 75.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked Leviatán Esports | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Leviatán Esports | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4806backed Leviatán Esports | 71c | 63.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FURIA Esports | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked FURIA Esports | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked FURIA Esports | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Leviatán Esports | 72c | 27.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Leviatán Esports | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)FURIA Esports won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.