Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Norway vs Hungary
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67a0f0482c35b3a19469bf9a3cfc5a16356ea94bcbddb928f93bbdfa306ed27c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hungaryof Norway, Hungary
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96b9…a560backed Norway | 74c | 3,910$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.78 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Norway | 60c | 2,530$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.09 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Hungary | 15c | 1,859$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.33 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Hungary | 21c | 1,605$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.25 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…16f3backed Hungary | 6c | 1,541$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.46 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Hungary | 58c | 1,421$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.14 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Hungary | 24c | 1,411$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.13 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Hungary | 10c | 735.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.32 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hungary | 16c | 638.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.23 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Hungary | 5c | 600$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Hungary | 32c | 552$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.01 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Hungary | 23c | 506.19$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.99 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hungary | 25c | 443.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.27 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Hungary | 18c | 377.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Hungary | 21c | 369.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.35 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hungary | 16c | 367.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.5 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Norway | 42c | 361$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Hungary | 11c | 322.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.15 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hungary | 28c | 320.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 434 | 41%178 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Norway | 60c | 316.51$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hungary | 11c | 309.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 269 | 29.4%79 W · 190 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Hungary | 22c | 298.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.11 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Hungary | 8c | 265.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.52 | 103 | 16.5%17 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Norway | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hungary | 41c | 194.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Norway | 26c | 192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked Hungary | 21c | 180.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Norway | 66c | 179.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Norway | 73c | 179$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Norway | 80c | 168.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.82 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b45fbacked Hungary | 26c | 152.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Hungary | 13c | 133.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.7 | 676 | 31.4%212 W · 464 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hungary | 19c | 123.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Norway | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Norway | 39c | 117.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Hungary | 14c | 109.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Norway | 59c | 102.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 416 | 47.4%197 W · 219 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Norway | 78c | 98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Hungary | 26c | 97.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Hungary | 31c | 88.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Norway | 57c | 87.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Norway | 79c | 82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…fdfcbacked Norway | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Norway | 79c | 73.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Norway | 55c | 72.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Norway | 74c | 68.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Hungary | 17c | 66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…85b1backed Norway | 77c | 66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Hungary | 33c | 61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Hungary | 31c | 57.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Norway | 80c | 51.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Norway | 80c | 49.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Hungary | 38c | 49.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Norway | 71c | 46.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Norway | 76c | 44.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Norway | 79c | 38.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…56cfbacked Hungary | 28c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Norway | 65c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Norway | 77c | 30.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Norway | 77c | 26.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…ba60backed Norway | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Hungary | 76c | 16.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Norway | 77c | 15.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Norway | 75c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.