TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: BRUTE (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bruteof Brute, Inner Circle Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,580 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7460…de6ebacked Inner Circle Academy56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9843951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Brute44c1,579$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.2912343.9%54 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Brute39c1,229$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.815,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Brute44c1,189$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.71,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Inner Circle Academy3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20806.3%5 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-63.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Brute44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2241,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Brute44c348.82$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.347,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Inner Circle Academy60c315.69$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4134140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Inner Circle Academy61c270.28$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3648851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Brute59c266$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.061136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Inner Circle Academy41c266$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed Brute37c251.02$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1323146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Brute40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed Inner Circle Academy60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Inner Circle Academy60c199.08$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4531241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Inner Circle Academy60c142.66$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.655039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Inner Circle Academy61c125$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2524746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Inner Circle Academy63c122.57$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2251348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Brute44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6412654.8%69 W · 57 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed Inner Circle Academy61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6137050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Brute44c97.73$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7330939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Brute44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9130638.9%119 W · 187 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Brute44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9122037.3%82 W · 138 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Inner Circle Academy60c85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2844747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Inner Circle Academy60c78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.097856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Brute44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.183438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Inner Circle Academy62c64.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014661.6%90 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Brute40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3020045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Inner Circle Academy63c36.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1789046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Inner Circle Academy62c35.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.122,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Inner Circle Academy60c35.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.42759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e8…4fffbacked Inner Circle Academy60c35.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.43253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Brute43c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5347856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Inner Circle Academy63c27.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0325650.4%129 W · 127 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.