TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Brute vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bruteof Brute, Inner Circle Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,805 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x691a…12babacked Inner Circle Academy35c4,643$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.363129%9 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Inner Circle Academy32c3,425$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10019229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Brute63c3,358$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.4466851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Brute65c2,687$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.245,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Brute64c2,281$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.332,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Brute71c2,101$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.351,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Academy25c1,939$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.37,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Brute69c1,727$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.3129449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Inner Circle Academy34c1,718$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.131,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Inner Circle Academy29c1,410$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.917448.3%84 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Brute71c1,293$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.41,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Inner Circle Academy36c1,079$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.5638841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Inner Circle Academy39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked Brute64c1,009$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.3513642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Inner Circle Academy36c993.18$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.5539245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed Inner Circle Academy31c898.77$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.324757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Brute74c822.53$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.452,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Inner Circle Academy22c797.3$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.042,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Brute65c766.35$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2259755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked Brute64c683.25$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9713938.1%53 W · 86 L-11.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Brute64c600$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21399148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Inner Circle Academy36c599.52$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.832,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Inner Circle Academy35c540$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18948845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Inner Circle Academy39c469.43$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0847054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Brute66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5531761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22ae…920bbacked Inner Circle Academy35c445.77$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.022962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Brute63c404.18$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5513354.9%73 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Brute66c384.5$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.7346555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Brute66c379.42$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.428361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Inner Circle Academy33c371.75$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.954,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Brute64c350.39$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1445465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Inner Circle Academy35c341.6$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5648240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Brute64c339.87$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3513371.4%95 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Inner Circle Academy33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9917142.1%72 W · 99 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Inner Circle Academy23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6936446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd547…64c4backed Inner Circle Academy9c300$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.042321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked Inner Circle Academy34c299.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10235131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Brute64c278$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0874054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Inner Circle Academy37c275$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.651,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Inner Circle Academy39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018645.2%84 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Inner Circle Academy35c216.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed Brute71c202.63$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2416355.2%90 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle Academy23c200.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.824,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0d5…9727backed Inner Circle Academy35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017438.5%67 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked Inner Circle Academy35c182.74$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9618043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle Academy7c177.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.046,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7327…a87dbacked Inner Circle Academy17c175.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.931338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Brute71c168.29$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.81,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d99…9c27backed Inner Circle Academy36c166$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7614439.6%57 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Inner Circle Academy36c162.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2148851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle Academy26c160.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.334,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed Inner Circle Academy25c160.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Brute64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2539955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a1d…78d4backed Brute64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252576%19 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Inner Circle Academy35c153.47$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.081,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Inner Circle Academy17c142.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8572353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Brute65c138.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5877351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Brute75c133.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5636440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed Brute70c125.65$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4129455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Inner Circle Academy35c125$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7524746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Brute65c124.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9851252.1%267 W · 245 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Inner Circle Academy35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4280740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ed…7817backed Inner Circle Academy10c103.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025635.5%91 W · 165 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Brute65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3367750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Brute64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Inner Circle Academy35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked Inner Circle Academy38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Inner Circle Academy35c97.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3417250.6%87 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Inner Circle Academy35c95.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9444747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9107…75e0backed Inner Circle Academy24c83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.926924.6%17 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Brute62c75.03$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.511,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed Brute67c73.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.415046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed Inner Circle Academy38c73.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3320147.3%95 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Brute78c72.35$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7412071.7%86 W · 34 L+16.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Inner Circle Academy26c70.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2240639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…5fa9backed Brute65c69.6$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.62871.4%20 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Inner Circle Academy36c69.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.024339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Inner Circle Academy25c69.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2574653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x739d…999bbacked Brute75c66.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.816759.7%40 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Inner Circle Academy24c65.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8241853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Brute79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2922555.6%125 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Inner Circle Academy35c62.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9732458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafca…436bbacked Brute68c60.36$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.063551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ac…2fb7backed Brute72c59.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9717866.3%118 W · 60 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Brute70c56.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5840666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…71c9backed Brute75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Brute66c49.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7760954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Inner Circle Academy25c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7751446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Brute63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6283856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Brute64c46.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8217067.6%115 W · 55 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Brute75c46.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.371,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed Brute78c45.72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9531662.7%198 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Inner Circle Academy39c45.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.749154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed Brute71c44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8452369.4%363 W · 160 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Brute78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Inner Circle Academy36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.26450%32 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Brute64c39.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3469445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Brute64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0628843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e0d…7817backed Brute66c36.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6016…1ab5backed Brute66c35.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1210457.7%60 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.