Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd4090263c6245898a114d7b69b5e294464f56d1ffebd7c8d0bf6baa8e46eda5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolves Esportsof Wolves Esports, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed TEC Esports | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wolves Esports | 44c | 187.89$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked TEC Esports | 45c | 183.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed TEC Esports | 56c | 137.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Wolves Esports | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Wolves Esports | 54c | 77.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Wolves Esports | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Wolves Esports | 80c | 65.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed TEC Esports | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TEC Esports | 31c | 38.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Wolves Esports | 63c | 37.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed TEC Esports | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TEC (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)Wolves Esports won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaWolves Esports won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 2 WinnerWolves Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.