Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7dc56daffc9f4ac71a65c8c8605fe6a38d01f0f7ac891f74bb932f0d03c4220
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolves Esportsof Wolves Esports, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Wolves Esports | 58c | 922.74$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.3 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TEC Esports | 23c | 830$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.78 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Wolves Esports | 72c | 506.2$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Wolves Esports | 58c | 427.13$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.17 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TEC Esports | 68c | 349.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.37 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Wolves Esports | 48c | 253.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Wolves Esports | 49c | 228.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.91 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Wolves Esports | 52c | 217.63$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Wolves Esports | 57c | 217.12$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed TEC Esports | 29c | 187.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked TEC Esports | 56c | 178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TEC Esports | 31c | 177.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TEC Esports | 25c | 165$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TEC Esports | 51c | 142.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Wolves Esports | 59c | 141.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Wolves Esports | 72c | 139.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…5277backed TEC Esports | 38c | 130.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b38…a4c4backed Wolves Esports | 46c | 107.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked TEC Esports | 55c | 105.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed TEC Esports | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Wolves Esports | 52c | 91.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Wolves Esports | 62c | 89.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Wolves Esports | 46c | 70.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked TEC Esports | 46c | 65.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked TEC Esports | 19c | 65.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TEC Esports | 49c | 61.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Wolves Esports | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TEC Esports | 48c | 54.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed TEC Esports | 30c | 52.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed TEC Esports | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Wolves Esports | 58c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed TEC Esports | 51c | 43.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TEC Esports | 59c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Wolves Esports | 44c | 41.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Wolves Esports | 55c | 39.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Wolves Esports | 30c | 39.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked TEC Esports | 37c | 38.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Wolves Esports | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b8…46aebacked TEC Esports | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed TEC Esports | 73c | 16.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TEC (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)Wolves Esports won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaWolves Esports won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 WinnerWolves Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.