Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: TEC (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc0db1a47edfdc404789096f756dd91588179acd867cbc7fef10b880ab7fe5bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolves Esportsof TEC Esports, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26be…805fbacked TEC Esports | 30c | 323.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Wolves Esports | 70c | 273.6$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked TEC Esports | 30c | 167.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed TEC Esports | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Wolves Esports | 70c | 135.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Wolves Esports | 65c | 97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Wolves Esports | 65c | 91.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Wolves Esports | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Wolves Esports | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Wolves Esports | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Wolves Esports | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Wolves Esports | 71c | 17.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Wolves Esports | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TEC (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaWolves Esports won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 WinnerWolves Esports won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 2 WinnerWolves Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.