Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: CGN Esports vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x052593def90c86cda326045708ad7eb559638274f7a3ed876b5dba1cf3a45b7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CGN Esportsof CGN Esports, MIR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed CGN Esports | 68c | 1,712$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.44 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed CGN Esports | 57c | 1,605$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.83 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…0105backed MIR | 48c | 1,085$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.71 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed CGN Esports | 61c | 1,029$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.08 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed CGN Esports | 67c | 999.81$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.21 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked MIR | 46c | 946.21$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.25 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MIR | 33c | 600$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.58 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MIR | 41c | 486$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.05 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MIR | 31c | 458.53$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked MIR | 47c | 451.05$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MIR | 23c | 431.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked MIR | 51c | 366.63$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.82 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed MIR | 26c | 300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MIR | 31c | 294.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked CGN Esports | 62c | 256.62$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.27 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked MIR | 23c | 235.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked MIR | 41c | 220.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed MIR | 58c | 198$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked CGN Esports | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CGN Esports | 58c | 157.34$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked CGN Esports | 56c | 154.77$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed MIR | 57c | 154.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed CGN Esports | 51c | 134.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked CGN Esports | 58c | 132.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed MIR | 32c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked CGN Esports | 58c | 119.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked CGN Esports | 69c | 107.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed MIR | 42c | 102.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed MIR | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed MIR | 29c | 99.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MIR | 40c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed CGN Esports | 54c | 70.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked MIR | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked CGN Esports | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed MIR | 27c | 67.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked CGN Esports | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked CGN Esports | 50c | 62.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked MIR | 26c | 61.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed MIR | 40c | 61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked MIR | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked CGN Esports | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked CGN Esports | 53c | 59.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed MIR | 36c | 55.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MIR | 25c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed CGN Esports | 56c | 52.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked CGN Esports | 56c | 51.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed CGN Esports | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked MIR | 40c | 37.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked CGN Esports | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed CGN Esports | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed CGN Esports | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed CGN Esports | 42c | 30.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed MIR | 42c | 29.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed CGN Esports | 70c | 28.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked MIR | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed CGN Esports | 51c | 23.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed CGN Esports | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed CGN Esports | 55c | 21.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed CGN Esports | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed CGN Esports | 75c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed CGN Esports | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Bthis page
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs MIR - Map 1 WinnerCGN Esports won
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs MIR - Map 2 WinnerCGN Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.