Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: CGN Esports vs MIR - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91150123d2d64d7eebb019b4e7865d99b6aa6832fbb53c00ff8e70884afedbad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CGN Esportsof CGN Esports, MIR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5556…2759backed CGN Esports | 55c | 996.77$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.92 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MIR | 43c | 697.63$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.15 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed CGN Esports | 60c | 335$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed MIR | 44c | 275.48$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed CGN Esports | 60c | 211.93$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked CGN Esports | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked MIR | 47c | 189.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MIR | 47c | 156.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIR | 47c | 148.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked MIR | 47c | 98.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed MIR | 45c | 85.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MIR | 47c | 83.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed MIR | 44c | 67.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked MIR | 47c | 63.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MIR | 47c | 58.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CGN Esports | 56c | 55.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed MIR | 44c | 55.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed MIR | 45c | 38.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed MIR | 49c | 35.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked CGN Esports | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs MIR - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group BCGN Esports won
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs MIR - Map 1 WinnerCGN Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.