Tennis · resolved market
ITF Granby: Rebecca Marino vs Mei Yamaguchi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0847cf0c45430ed9ecd462c05aba56d36fecdaed776e0b340174b35d9056f2a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebecca Marinoof Rebecca Marino, Mei Yamaguchi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Rebecca Marino | 67c | 38,013$25,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,571.92 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mei Yamaguchi | 30c | 20,744$6,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,147.11 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mei Yamaguchi | 34c | 10,913$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720.82 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mei Yamaguchi | 1c | 1,069$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Mei Yamaguchi | 29c | 1,050$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 37c | 831.02$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.55 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mei Yamaguchi | 25c | 737.79$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Mei Yamaguchi | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Mei Yamaguchi | 38c | 385$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Mei Yamaguchi | 38c | 368.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Mei Yamaguchi | 32c | 252.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…68b6backed Mei Yamaguchi | 17c | 250.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 112 | 14.3%16 W · 96 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Mei Yamaguchi | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Mei Yamaguchi | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Mei Yamaguchi | 37c | 145$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Mei Yamaguchi | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Mei Yamaguchi | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rebecca Marino | 63c | 133.88$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rebecca Marino | 61c | 129.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Mei Yamaguchi | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mei Yamaguchi | 31c | 113.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rebecca Marino | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Mei Yamaguchi | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 40c | 66.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mei Yamaguchi | 28c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Mei Yamaguchi | 28c | 44.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Rebecca Marino | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Mei Yamaguchi | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Mei Yamaguchi | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Rebecca Marino | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.