Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeff20ced75ad4cb85f3ff09ca77307fc8b2d28e3ab6dc2dd03c69355eb94bdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 19c | 984.06$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 15c | 764.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked No | 41c | 700.09$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 39c | 486.86$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.23 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 57c | 441.21$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.05 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 61c | 425.13$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.03 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 17c | 406.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 31c | 388.17$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 47c | 363.04$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 56c | 246.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.59 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 40c | 212.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…2c9dbacked No | 41c | 183.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 213 | 40.8%87 W · 126 L | +23.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 43c | 179.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 55c | 174.02$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 6c | 166.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 115 | 19.1%22 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 57c | 155$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 64c | 144.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…53adbacked No | 20c | 140.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 60c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…e902backed No | 33c | 139.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 138.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 26c | 138.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 48c | 131.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…4a4bbacked No | 55c | 126.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 44c | 125.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 60c | 116.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 43c | 113.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a87…911fbacked No | 48c | 106.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 45c | 99.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…4b60backed Yes | 45c | 99.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…485fbacked No | 27c | 96.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 60c | 91.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed No | 43c | 82.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 41c | 80.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 62c | 80.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 54c | 79.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 23c | 77.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb7…d9b8backed Yes | 50c | 77.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…14a9backed Yes | 70c | 75.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 37c | 71.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Yes | 71c | 70.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 67.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d4a6backed Yes | 75c | 66.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…5506backed No | 40c | 62.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -6.7wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -57%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 28c | 60.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…eb5cbacked No | 54c | 51.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 48c | 51.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…bf21backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec34…b109backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 29c | 49.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…3ce8backed No | 55c | 48.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…bc30backed No | 41c | 47.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 31c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…1c86backed No | 43c | 46.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 40c | 46.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a2…b8fabacked No | 64c | 45.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…2c6fbacked No | 44c | 45.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 27c | 42.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 437 | 13.3%58 W · 379 L | -78.8wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 30c | 40.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 69c | 39.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 28c | 37.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 53c | 37.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 43c | 35.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…83b1backed Yes | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 37c | 32.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…d211backed Yes | 41c | 31.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…042fbacked No | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 66c | 30.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…bd3bbacked Yes | 54c | 29.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 71c | 27.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 58c | 26.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 57c | 26.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b6…caadbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…f0ddbacked Yes | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…154ebacked Yes | 73c | 20.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc799…3bddbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80c…827bbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed Yes | 70c | 18.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…9ec9backed Yes | 64c | 16.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 73c | 16.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d0…d991backed Yes | 77c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.