Tennis · resolved market
Cordenons: Juan Martin vs Harold Mayot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8423de5c86031f1b812582118b20d99908119883cb9a5802addb1b4e23258a1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Martinof Juan Martin, Harold Mayot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Harold Mayot | 33c | 10,363$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.35 | 1,447 | 42.8%620 W · 827 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juan Martin | 63c | 4,721$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.25 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Juan Martin | 72c | 3,628$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.18 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Harold Mayot | 54c | 1,556$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.18 | 4,647 | 67.7%3,147 W · 1,500 L | +308.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Juan Martin | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.38 | 748 | 40.9%306 W · 442 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Juan Martin | 73c | 1,341$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.33 | 5,486 | 56.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L | +232.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juan Martin | 64c | 1,254$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.51 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Harold Mayot | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 637 | 57.3%365 W · 272 L | -21.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Juan Martin | 61c | 812.75$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.14 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Harold Mayot | 26c | 810.31$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Harold Mayot | 30c | 800$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.15 | 9,444 | 44.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L | -249.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Harold Mayot | 15c | 773.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Harold Mayot | 21c | 692.01$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 188 | 22.9%43 W · 145 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Harold Mayot | 8c | 613.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +496.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Juan Martin | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 7,157 | 39.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Harold Mayot | 21c | 599.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Harold Mayot | 8c | 302.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 2,088 | 46.7%975 W · 1,113 L | +19.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Harold Mayot | 7c | 281.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Juan Martin | 56c | 269.92$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 888 | 58%515 W · 373 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Harold Mayot | 35c | 252.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Juan Martin | 45c | 249.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.68 | 210 | 24.8%52 W · 158 L | -20.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Harold Mayot | 42c | 239.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Harold Mayot | 59c | 217.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 842 | 60.9%513 W · 329 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Harold Mayot | 34c | 173.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Harold Mayot | 63c | 162.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 985 | 55.2%544 W · 441 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Harold Mayot | 12c | 161.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,123 | 37.2%418 W · 705 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…99d0backed Juan Martin | 78c | 161.17$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Harold Mayot | 32c | 160.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 2,111 | 44.6%941 W · 1,170 L | -51.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Harold Mayot | 40c | 158.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 1,633 | 52.7%860 W · 773 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Harold Mayot | 34c | 157.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Harold Mayot | 7c | 154.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Harold Mayot | 45c | 149.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Harold Mayot | 62c | 145.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 3,952 | 55.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L | +107.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Harold Mayot | 9c | 138.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Harold Mayot | 14c | 134.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 4,305 | 45%1,939 W · 2,366 L | +20.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Harold Mayot | 8c | 132.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Harold Mayot | 27c | 122.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Harold Mayot | 34c | 118.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 454 | 44.7%203 W · 251 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Juan Martin | 79c | 117.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 4,523 | 51.7%2,340 W · 2,183 L | +135.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Harold Mayot | 21c | 115.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 751 | 46.1%346 W · 405 L | -30.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Harold Mayot | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Juan Martin | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Juan Martin | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Harold Mayot | 31c | 103.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Juan Martin | 63c | 99.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 1,815 | 46.5%844 W · 971 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Harold Mayot | 63c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Harold Mayot | 35c | 88.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Juan Martin | 38c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…fd61backed Harold Mayot | 27c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Harold Mayot | 27c | 72.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Harold Mayot | 18c | 67.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Juan Martin | 38c | 66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 7,227 | 49.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L | +118.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Juan Martin | 37c | 63.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Harold Mayot | 38c | 59.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Juan Martin | 66c | 56.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 604 | 41.2%249 W · 355 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Juan Martin | 38c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…80d4backed Juan Martin | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Juan Martin | 37c | 42.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 4,081 | 45.7%1,867 W · 2,214 L | -30.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Harold Mayot | 45c | 40.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1,136 | 56.7%644 W · 492 L | +53.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Juan Martin | 70c | 33.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 5,075 | 41.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L | -83.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…44c4backed Juan Martin | 38c | 29.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Juan Martin | 77c | 29.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…4349backed Juan Martin | 71c | 28.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Juan Martin | 66c | 21.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 3,752 | 45.3%1,700 W · 2,052 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Juan Martin | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Juan Martin | 62c | 17.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.