MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7abfb57c5e753d61b3f938893096c07b047b6d42c16ee92b6e3b371919288b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 20,692$10,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,725.13 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 20,310$7,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,723.04 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 19,299$8,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,543.86 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 16,547$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 15,088$7,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,410.57 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 12,804$8,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680.87 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 12,062$7,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,824.94 | 238 | 54.6%130 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 11,682$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752.03 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 11,629$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,349.55 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Minnesota Twins | 18c | 9,241$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.38 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.07 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 5,185$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.19 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 4,920$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.97 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 4,428$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.88 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 3,038$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.3 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,825$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.49 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Minnesota Twins | 3c | 2,517$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 2,492$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.76 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 2,264$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.75 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 2,155$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,970$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.63 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Minnesota Twins | 1c | 1,801$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,480$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.67 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.25 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,247$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.21 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,109$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.95 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 1,082$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.34 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 999.79$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.93 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 935.08$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.63 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 825.56$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.19 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 724.57$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 701.3$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.49 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 685.34$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.2 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 653.54$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.63 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 653.41$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.28 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 652.58$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.71 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 579.67$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.7 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 577.34$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.24 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 574.23$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.89 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 530.29$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.63 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 472.6$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.06 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 461.32$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.05 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 432.71$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 396$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 378.28$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.37 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 364$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 360$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 336$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Minnesota Twins | 26c | 320.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -11.8wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 312.29$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 265.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 217.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 207.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 204.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 195$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 185.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 182$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 286 | 47.2%135 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…08bebacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 181.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 176.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 167.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Minnesota Twins | 12c | 166.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -82%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…57b7backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 163.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 130 | 76.2%99 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 157.94$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Minnesota Twins | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 143.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 140.13$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…41b3backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 133$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 132$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 124.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 123.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 120.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.