Tennis · resolved market
ITF Don Benito: Valentina Ryser vs Victoria Allen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x707bd634489e4ec2ebb69ab43a56e3c77c027bb46a987b3a4b8379b586e2baa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valentina Ryserof Valentina Ryser, Victoria Allen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Victoria Allen | 22c | 2,904$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Valentina Ryser | 76c | 2,597$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.21 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Victoria Allen | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Valentina Ryser | 78c | 1,850$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.09 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Victoria Allen | 23c | 1,830$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Valentina Ryser | 73c | 680.73$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.11 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Victoria Allen | 18c | 551.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Victoria Allen | 23c | 460.61$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.59 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Victoria Allen | 27c | 328.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Victoria Allen | 14c | 261.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Valentina Ryser | 67c | 222.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Victoria Allen | 20c | 204.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Victoria Allen | 12c | 203.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Victoria Allen | 19c | 191$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Victoria Allen | 19c | 182.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Victoria Allen | 11c | 172.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Victoria Allen | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Valentina Ryser | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Valentina Ryser | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Victoria Allen | 29c | 115.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Victoria Allen | 16c | 104.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Victoria Allen | 20c | 104.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…e893backed Victoria Allen | 13c | 100.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Victoria Allen | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Victoria Allen | 29c | 73.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Valentina Ryser | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Valentina Ryser | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Valentina Ryser | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valentina Ryser | 75c | 61.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Victoria Allen | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf76…02b8backed Valentina Ryser | 80c | 56.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Valentina Ryser | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Valentina Ryser | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Valentina Ryser | 74c | 39.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Valentina Ryser | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Valentina Ryser | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Valentina Ryser | 76c | 19.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Valentina Ryser | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Valentina Ryser | 79c | 15.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Valentina Ryser | 75c | 13.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.