Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8b8a90876e1c74f2c561468f367399fcf12dd66a97e8cbb4997cb275fb3c164
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 1,461$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.74 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 62c | 1,153$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.67 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 8c | 611$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 16c | 456.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 47c | 450.34$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.38 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 62c | 386.43$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.61 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 63c | 230.17$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 65 | 92.3%60 W · 5 L | +17.6wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 214 | 74.3%159 W · 55 L | +44.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…a43cbacked Under | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 62c | 184$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 11c | 167.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 33c | 163.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 144$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 134.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 67c | 125.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 37c | 110$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 93.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 51c | 89.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 38c | 84.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 36c | 78.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 63c | 70.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 39c | 67.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 16c | 64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 62c | 61.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 62c | 59.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 62c | 51.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Under | 77c | 46.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 72c | 46.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 36.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 64c | 34.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…fd9ebacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…7c71backed Under | 64c | 29.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Over | 37c | 29.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 64c | 28.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 56c | 25.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Under | 72c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Under | 64c | 20.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…bdafbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Jeju SK FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Jeju SK FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Jeju SK FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-2.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)Jeju SK FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.