TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,061 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under43c837.21$361 inLost-$361.0927037%100 W · 170 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over60c628.83$380 inWon+$248.832339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over41c530$216 inWon+$314.3828532.3%92 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa496…0f5abacked Over62c507.95$315 inWon+$193.02955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c501.45$195 inLost-$194.625,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under46c406$187 inLost-$187.4172144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over47c345.02$161 inWon+$183.664772.3%34 W · 13 L+10.6wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+56.4%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under38c305.45$117 inLost-$117.0358542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under11c284.99$32 inLost-$32.251915.8%3 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under57c249.45$142 inLost-$142.271,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under33c180.63$60 inLost-$59.8792835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over52c145$75 inWon+$69.6221574.4%160 W · 55 L+45.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under55c131.55$72 inLost-$72.359241.3%38 W · 54 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under42c123.02$52 inLost-$51.5112045.8%55 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over43c122.58$53 inWon+$69.4621652.3%113 W · 103 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cee…4191backed Over42c102.38$43 inWon+$59.381050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under47c88.16$42 inLost-$41.821,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over51c64$33 inWon+$31.3620769.6%144 W · 63 L+31.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under57c56.42$32 inLost-$32.1669352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over64c50$32 inWon+$181752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over80c50$40 inWon+$1019965.3%130 W · 69 L+27.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under36c50$18 inLost-$1832654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under60c22.43$13 inLost-$13.437559.2%222 W · 153 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over62c20.26$13 inWon+$7.78859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.