CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #6 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x047c214c31d25540e5d6c51fffc0af5b554aafef33086a48a995df6d23c6cdc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof Noir Verse, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Noir Verse | 41c | 3,839$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.72 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Noir Verse | 42c | 3,600$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.72 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 1,369$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.17 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 1,220$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked MOUZ NXT | 61c | 999.99$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 600.98$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.44 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 529.31$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.31 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 501.83$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.13 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 446.79$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.31 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT | 67c | 435.72$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.27 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Noir Verse | 35c | 403.42$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…cbd2backed Noir Verse | 44c | 334.28$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 310$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 303.89$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…7ddcbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 301$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.42 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Noir Verse | 22c | 296.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 277$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 270.69$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.69 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Noir Verse | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed MOUZ NXT | 76c | 225$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Noir Verse | 43c | 202.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 64c | 197.3$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked MOUZ NXT | 77c | 176.68$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Noir Verse | 15c | 172.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 163.48$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Noir Verse | 43c | 145.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed MOUZ NXT | 78c | 128.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 128.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 116.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Noir Verse | 43c | 106$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…6eebbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 101$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…23b4backed Noir Verse | 35c | 97.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Noir Verse | 32c | 96.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked MOUZ NXT | 63c | 90.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 77.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…21e3backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 69.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf69e…9457backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 69.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Noir Verse | 44c | 68.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MOUZ NXT | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Noir Verse | 26c | 64.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Noir Verse | 31c | 60.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MOUZ NXT | 67c | 50.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed Noir Verse | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…60ebbacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 44.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Noir Verse | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Noir Verse | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 37.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Noir Verse | 41c | 37.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…05aabacked Noir Verse | 43c | 36.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Noir Verse | 43c | 34.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Noir Verse | 38c | 34.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ NXT | 75c | 32.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 31.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed MOUZ NXT | 61c | 29.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Noir Verse | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed MOUZ NXT | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 71c | 21.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked MOUZ NXT | 79c | 16.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked MOUZ NXT | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #6 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.