TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TDKof TDK, Team Nemesis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked TDK59c5,044$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.093,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TDK60c1,853$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.046,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf268…ecf6backed TDK75c1,566$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.617851.3%40 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Team Nemesis33c1,448$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.1418338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed TDK59c1,379$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.64,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Nemesis45c1,203$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.22,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis55c1,067$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.915,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Team Nemesis44c768.52$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34019546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Nemesis65c768.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Nemesis17c656.84$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.742,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x185f…acc1backed Team Nemesis46c645.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Nemesis32c575$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.792,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc0…e6a6backed TDK36c548.31$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.353745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Team Nemesis38c525.28$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19738552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ff…c5b2backed TDK72c503.44$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.961361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked TDK46c477.96$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.793,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Team Nemesis42c475.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed TDK32c450$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30628943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed TDK66c433$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2249850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Team Nemesis46c417.13$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.722,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Team Nemesis48c415.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Nemesis14c409.62$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.13,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed TDK36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2561,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Team Nemesis65c399.98$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9995642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Nemesis34c396$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.011,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x435f…2de6backed TDK67c387.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.036354%34 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8100…53a9backed Team Nemesis65c387.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis33c387$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.865,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Team Nemesis64c371.02$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.876456.3%36 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed TDK44c345.33$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3932844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Team Nemesis59c340$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.621247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked TDK69c322.5$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.754,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Nemesis22c316.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5324939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked TDK46c280$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.213844.2%61 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed Team Nemesis66c249.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9927156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…1398backed Team Nemesis64c220.06$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.87922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed TDK43c217.03$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9377351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked TDK80c200.42$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4246165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Team Nemesis58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11630348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed TDK44c195.91$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7149935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a57…4942backed TDK51c195$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Nemesis28c186.8$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.673,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Team Nemesis56c179.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed TDK50c177.5$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.537949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked TDK66c173.93$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9862738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Team Nemesis27c170.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.222,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5f0c…5ad0backed TDK63c157.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9710643.4%46 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Nemesis27c153.41$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.652,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked TDK38c152.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.932,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Team Nemesis33c133.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.552,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed TDK53c132.07$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0796545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Nemesis66c130$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.825651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Nemesis15c129.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.451,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Nemesis66c128.27$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6648948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked TDK45c118.74$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3119351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Nemesis34c118.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.032,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Team Nemesis50c108.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.521233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x90d1…2cf6backed Team Nemesis48c104.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.654946.9%23 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked TDK46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5491945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Team Nemesis49c98.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.035455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f67…866ebacked Team Nemesis49c98.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.035052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae9…5ff8backed Team Nemesis49c98.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.033644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Team Nemesis43c96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.819329%56 W · 137 L-23.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x22bc…b0b2backed Team Nemesis41c95.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3913047.7%62 W · 68 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked TDK57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7241054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Nemesis39c84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.753,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Team Nemesis52c80.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5430247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4d…44e5backed Team Nemesis18c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41650%8 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked TDK53c72.45$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.262,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Team Nemesis56c71.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.250051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Team Nemesis46c69.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.21,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Team Nemesis44c67.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8352645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked TDK36c67.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2420944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe91e…9ea8backed Team Nemesis19c63.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7910338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed TDK58c59.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.171,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed TDK44c58.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6351348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed TDK60c57.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0267372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xb065…60ccbacked TDK34c54.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.872944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Team Nemesis44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9410…b32ebacked TDK79c44.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.36256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Team Nemesis56c42.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.134750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Team Nemesis56c42.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9522049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed TDK69c42.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.134,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2280…31cbbacked Team Nemesis59c41.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.685151%26 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked TDK42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.219954.8%109 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Team Nemesis38c31.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.255973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked Team Nemesis66c30.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018541.6%77 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed TDK44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.856454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8192…e1b9backed Team Nemesis65c29.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.498933.7%30 W · 59 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked TDK64c28.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1639772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9444…048ebacked Team Nemesis56c26.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.814751.7%76 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa099…b1d4backed TDK58c26.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.037159.2%42 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Nemesis61c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.251,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed TDK44c24.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.711,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Nemesis43c23.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2296543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Team Nemesis66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560358.5%353 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…2874backed TDK54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.