Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Mathys Picard vs Roger Pascual Ferra
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a86eb2ba38620f0a9b4b6700fb5b625330067c474afbf33a2b0af076fc20a04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roger Pascual Ferraof Mathys Picard, Roger Pascual Ferra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Roger Pascual Ferra | 60c | 13,206$7,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,338.17 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mathys Picard | 31c | 5,104$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.14 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Mathys Picard | 54c | 3,100$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Mathys Picard | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mathys Picard | 40c | 1,564$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Roger Pascual Ferra | 47c | 1,303$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.51 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Mathys Picard | 13c | 1,189$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Mathys Picard | 36c | 1,112$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Roger Pascual Ferra | 62c | 1,096$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.48 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Mathys Picard | 25c | 811.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Mathys Picard | 6c | 752$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mathys Picard | 21c | 666.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Roger Pascual Ferra | 78c | 581.89$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.48 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Mathys Picard | 23c | 523.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Mathys Picard | 40c | 469.74$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.91 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Mathys Picard | 45c | 456.88$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Roger Pascual Ferra | 59c | 403.58$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.12 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Roger Pascual Ferra | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mathys Picard | 40c | 362.3$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Mathys Picard | 40c | 336$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Roger Pascual Ferra | 69c | 311.52$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Roger Pascual Ferra | 71c | 299.54$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Mathys Picard | 40c | 265$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mathys Picard | 29c | 240.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Mathys Picard | 32c | 237.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Roger Pascual Ferra | 76c | 220.93$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Roger Pascual Ferra | 71c | 217.01$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Mathys Picard | 24c | 212.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Mathys Picard | 26c | 190.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Roger Pascual Ferra | 71c | 185$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Roger Pascual Ferra | 65c | 178.51$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Roger Pascual Ferra | 59c | 169.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Mathys Picard | 37c | 166.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Mathys Picard | 43c | 153.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Mathys Picard | 43c | 153.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Mathys Picard | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Mathys Picard | 39c | 122.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Mathys Picard | 41c | 107.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Roger Pascual Ferra | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Mathys Picard | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Mathys Picard | 22c | 85.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Mathys Picard | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Mathys Picard | 46c | 73.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…b5a5backed Mathys Picard | 23c | 71.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Roger Pascual Ferra | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…9b44backed Mathys Picard | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Mathys Picard | 43c | 60.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Mathys Picard | 58c | 60.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…9801backed Roger Pascual Ferra | 64c | 54.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Mathys Picard | 40c | 53.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Mathys Picard | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4f…ab40backed Roger Pascual Ferra | 78c | 48.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Mathys Picard | 41c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Roger Pascual Ferra | 76c | 45.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…3f9dbacked Mathys Picard | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Mathys Picard | 38c | 41.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Mathys Picard | 43c | 41.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Roger Pascual Ferra | 63c | 39.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Mathys Picard | 36c | 38.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…733cbacked Roger Pascual Ferra | 71c | 36.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Mathys Picard | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…d7a8backed Mathys Picard | 44c | 31.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Mathys Picard | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…b32ebacked Mathys Picard | 50c | 29.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Mathys Picard | 42c | 28.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Roger Pascual Ferra | 76c | 28.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Roger Pascual Ferra | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Mathys Picard | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Roger Pascual Ferra | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Roger Pascual Ferra | 72c | 14.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Monastir: Mathys Picard vs Roger Pascual Ferrathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Picard vs FerraPicard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.