CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26bc709c21c6ec82a366ab2021c89ecae99ede5f5cffdeace616189985f893a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof Bebop, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Bebop | 50c | 1,610$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RUSTEC | 50c | 1,442$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.49 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Bebop | 53c | 1,042$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.63 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed RUSTEC | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked RUSTEC | 46c | 946.54$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.72 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed RUSTEC | 53c | 667.38$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed RUSTEC | 50c | 506.29$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.36 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bebop | 50c | 313.6$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.58 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Bebop | 36c | 279.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed RUSTEC | 55c | 271.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 147 | 49.7%73 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bebop | 51c | 266.42$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bebop | 37c | 261.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.46 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Bebop | 62c | 246.24$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed RUSTEC | 45c | 241$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bebop | 38c | 222.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Bebop | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Bebop | 35c | 179.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked Bebop | 37c | 165.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked RUSTEC | 66c | 152.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked RUSTEC | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed RUSTEC | 60c | 147.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed RUSTEC | 71c | 140.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Bebop | 46c | 127.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed RUSTEC | 39c | 123.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bebop | 55c | 123.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…1d30backed RUSTEC | 39c | 113$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Bebop | 63c | 107.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed RUSTEC | 45c | 101.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed RUSTEC | 48c | 100.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Bebop | 51c | 99.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked RUSTEC | 67c | 97.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Bebop | 51c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Bebop | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Bebop | 41c | 96.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed RUSTEC | 42c | 91.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked RUSTEC | 48c | 90.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bebop | 49c | 88.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked RUSTEC | 63c | 81.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed RUSTEC | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Bebop | 59c | 76.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Bebop | 68c | 75.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RUSTEC | 24c | 63.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…9546backed Bebop | 37c | 63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb5…ea33backed Bebop | 56c | 61.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebb…8551backed Bebop | 57c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed RUSTEC | 62c | 51.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 316 | 62.7%198 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked RUSTEC | 30c | 48.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked RUSTEC | 50c | 47.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Bebop | 42c | 45.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed Bebop | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked RUSTEC | 51c | 42.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Bebop | 48c | 41.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked RUSTEC | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed RUSTEC | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0906…54f4backed RUSTEC | 41c | 36.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed RUSTEC | 48c | 30.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Bebop | 67c | 30.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed RUSTEC | 57c | 26.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked RUSTEC | 71c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c4…9991backed Bebop | 67c | 22.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bebop | 56c | 22.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed RUSTEC | 47c | 21.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageBebop won
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC - Map 2 WinnerRUSTEC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: BBP (-1.5) vs RUSTEC (+1.5)RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.