TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Azure Dragon Gamingof Evil Geniuses Academy, Azure Dragon Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,282 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9625…5bb7backed Evil Geniuses Academy52c3,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.222466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Azure Dragon Gaming51c1,828$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.461,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Azure Dragon Gaming54c965.27$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.021,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Azure Dragon Gaming53c957.33$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.661,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Evil Geniuses Academy43c613.73$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.7540731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Evil Geniuses Academy47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8586747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Evil Geniuses Academy71c422.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Azure Dragon Gaming55c330.56$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.753855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Azure Dragon Gaming53c322.24$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4531046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming63c282$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7984838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Azure Dragon Gaming62c275.94$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.11,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Azure Dragon Gaming49c271.35$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7468949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Evil Geniuses Academy12c247.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Evil Geniuses Academy9c218.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.16630.3%20 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Azure Dragon Gaming49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.087252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Azure Dragon Gaming65c170.28$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.241,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Evil Geniuses Academy30c142.94$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1523644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed Evil Geniuses Academy64c130$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.218460.9%112 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Azure Dragon Gaming57c126$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4842140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Evil Geniuses Academy39c124$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3618647.8%89 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Azure Dragon Gaming54c120.74$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7419945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming69c116.7$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Azure Dragon Gaming73c108.33$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5823745.1%107 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Evil Geniuses Academy31c107.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9977744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Evil Geniuses Academy43c102.34$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.633838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming59c100.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9990733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Azure Dragon Gaming72c89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7210349.5%51 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14b…4ff2backed Azure Dragon Gaming34c80$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Evil Geniuses Academy50c75.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9651749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Azure Dragon Gaming56c73.47$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3319439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Azure Dragon Gaming72c58.75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4315842.4%67 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Azure Dragon Gaming55c56.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Azure Dragon Gaming52c56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8893049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Evil Geniuses Academy32c55.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9296245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy40c52.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2250944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Azure Dragon Gaming63c52.24$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.244660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Azure Dragon Gaming29c51.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7321641.7%90 W · 126 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…980abacked Evil Geniuses Academy63c47.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.032552%13 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Azure Dragon Gaming58c41.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.474365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Azure Dragon Gaming72c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3510846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Azure Dragon Gaming48c30.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.965100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+92.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Evil Geniuses Academy42c26.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.368634.9%30 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Azure Dragon Gaming72c24.92$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.033844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Azure Dragon Gaming62c24.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.124032.1%77 W · 163 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Evil Geniuses Academy57c22.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7444342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Evil Geniuses Academy54c22.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9474642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed Azure Dragon Gaming75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Azure Dragon Gaming74c18.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.786453.1%34 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Azure Dragon Gaming67c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.282955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.