MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64739195110169341a575b300adc3e45e88f4184ad535d59511cd81452585d42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 47c | 100,000$46,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,990.42 | 556 | 53.2%296 W · 260 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 48c | 55,555$26,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,666.4 | 1,449 | 49.5%717 W · 732 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 52c | 54,468$28,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,144.54 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 53c | 32,616$17,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,329.44 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 53c | 21,902$11,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,293.92 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 18,445$9,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,654.64 | 4,555 | 49.2%2,239 W · 2,316 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 53c | 15,102$8,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,097.71 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 53c | 11,069$5,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,215.56 | 4,427 | 47.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L | -77.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,088 | 48.3%525 W · 563 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 47c | 3,200$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 3,096$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.46 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 2,868$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.73 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 55c | 2,258$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.39 | 2,315 | 52.5%1,216 W · 1,099 L | +25.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.16 | 1,548 | 48.6%753 W · 795 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 53c | 1,331$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.15 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 1,310$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.48 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 53c | 1,280$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.05 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 54c | 1,110$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.18 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Over | 47c | 1,110$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.2 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 47c | 1,100$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,855 | 50.6%939 W · 916 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 994.98$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.64 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 987.73$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.23 | 1,604 | 48.6%779 W · 825 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 47c | 904.85$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.87 | 933 | 53.9%503 W · 430 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 848.55$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.31 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 53c | 747.49$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.32 | 282 | 54.3%153 W · 129 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 47c | 718$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.46 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 60c | 636.68$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.3 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 63c | 606.47$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.75 | 6,132 | 55.4%3,395 W · 2,737 L | +346.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 52c | 598$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.05 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 885 | 50.4%446 W · 439 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 52c | 558$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 720 | 53.3%384 W · 336 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 49c | 512.88$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.74 | 3,231 | 51.2%1,655 W · 1,576 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Over | 46c | 440$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 53c | 361.5$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 5,182 | 54.6%2,829 W · 2,353 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Over | 56c | 353.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Over | 56c | 309.14$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.12 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 51c | 304.19$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.14 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 291.56$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 64c | 291$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 25c | 278.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Under | 51c | 247.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 241.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 240$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 2,327 | 51.1%1,188 W · 1,139 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Under | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…8aa2backed Under | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 53c | 212.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 386 | 53.6%207 W · 179 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Over | 53c | 206.32$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 36c | 204$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 34c | 203.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 54c | 203$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Under | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Under | 53c | 187.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under | 53c | 179$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 53c | 176$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 48c | 164.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 622 | 49.2%306 W · 316 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 44c | 154.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 54c | 152.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 3,467 | 51.2%1,775 W · 1,692 L | +105.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 35c | 148.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 477 | 49.9%238 W · 239 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 35c | 148.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 280 | 46.4%130 W · 150 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 35c | 148.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 551 | 51.2%282 W · 269 L | +29.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 55c | 145.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 52c | 144$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Under | 53c | 141$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 54c | 129.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 128.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 2,372 | 49.7%1,179 W · 1,193 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 48c | 122.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 54c | 119.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 1,213 | 49.1%595 W · 618 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 47c | 117.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 48c | 116.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…dc88backed Over | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Under | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 23c | 99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 35c | 89.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 5,861 | 43.7%2,562 W · 3,299 L | -190.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 48c | 89.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 1,044 | 48.9%511 W · 533 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 48c | 88.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles AngelsHouston Astros won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.