MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54c085b16ddd26a360063f92d2474dbb38a670a8ee18adbc5246cce5277a62c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 36c | 3,717$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.63 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 1,886$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.64 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 1,178$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.07 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 585.93$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.28 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 78c | 513.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.01 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 54c | 465.06$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.24 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 45c | 414.7$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.62 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 72c | 278.5$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Over | 53c | 271$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 194.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 31c | 137.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 53c | 123$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 60c | 122.36$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 40c | 119.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 22c | 117$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Under | 47c | 93.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…34f5backed Under | 69c | 91.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 47c | 89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 40c | 86.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Under | 69c | 78.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 44c | 75.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 54c | 55.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 49c | 48.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Under | 50c | 45.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 38c | 32.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 38c | 32.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 54c | 31.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 57c | 29.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 60c | 28.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…5382backed Over | 40c | 28.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 47c | 28.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Under | 60c | 25.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 53c | 22.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Under | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…dc37backed Under | 68c | 18.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Under | 59c | 18.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles AngelsHouston Astros won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.