Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Davis Aggies vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a5a092f8d9648c2c4a35bba7a9290c96ea28f0b17a0675ac9016e6169d8f06f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Davis Aggiesof UC Davis Aggies, UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UC Davis Aggies | 37c | 3,266$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.91 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 72c | 1,720$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.84 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed UC Davis Aggies | 35c | 958.43$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.98 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 58c | 885.76$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.81 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 58c | 775$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.5 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked UC Davis Aggies | 30c | 662.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.67 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 24c | 584.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 13c | 578$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 63c | 565.48$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UC Davis Aggies | 40c | 563.88$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 65c | 540$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc35…c471backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 17c | 456.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 25c | 329.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked UC Davis Aggies | 64c | 310.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 30c | 298$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 24c | 263.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 36c | 213.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 45c | 213$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 49c | 208.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 60c | 179.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed UC Davis Aggies | 29c | 102.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed UC Davis Aggies | 51c | 102.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed UC Davis Aggies | 24c | 101.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UC Davis Aggies | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UC Davis Aggies | 37c | 90.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UC Davis Aggies | 35c | 80.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked UC Davis Aggies | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 64c | 76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 48c | 66.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed UC Davis Aggies | 30c | 66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 53c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UC Davis Aggies | 57c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 64c | 41.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UC Davis Aggies | 38c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 43c | 34.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 62c | 25.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…ac7dbacked UC Davis Aggies | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UC Davis Aggies vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchosthis page
- UC Davis Aggies vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.