TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,834 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c1,296$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.296,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No69c632$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.0896645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c492.21$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.532,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c475.31$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.492,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c307.71$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22080953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc5…f09fbacked No50c216.68$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc526…c973backed No50c216.51$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0843…d4c8backed No50c216.16$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca77…d18cbacked No50c212.93$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa876…ed40backed No50c211.22$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51d4…3f2abacked No50c210.67$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1469…3a8abacked No50c208.54$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e70…740dbacked No50c206.78$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce04…f72ebacked No51c205.48$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff0…053cbacked No51c205.46$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fdb…1d7cbacked No51c205.39$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b5b…e06bbacked No51c204.63$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0919…6690backed No50c204.01$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f96…5cb2backed No51c203.93$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eb0…ba2cbacked No51c203.83$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39b8…8031backed No50c203.49$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5dc…d448backed No50c203.04$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.52850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd2…b38bbacked No50c202.58$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9999…f8c7backed No50c202.05$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaad0…2980backed No50c201.6$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0937…99dfbacked No50c201.07$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc403…9198backed No51c201.01$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b06…3ef9backed No50c200.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.47450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x732b…0d38backed No50c200.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5493…af51backed No50c200.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0836…3057backed No51c200.34$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.17450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x398e…1cb4backed No50c200.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e35…beabbacked No50c199.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f1…d1f6backed No50c199.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a6c…a200backed No51c199.34$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44fa…43b6backed No50c199.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03c…6558backed No50c198.84$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8626…acc2backed No50c198.74$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aef…de78backed No51c198.63$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcefc…347dbacked No51c198.6$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…866fbacked No50c198.17$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeee…c51bbacked No51c198.02$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e82…14bcbacked No51c197.87$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c22…aa04backed No51c197.74$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460d…1cedbacked No50c197.72$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c8…e7eabacked No51c197.65$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b4…0b41backed No50c197.11$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab0…0b80backed No50c196.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a23…e8a9backed No51c196.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3227…6df7backed No50c196.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22f3…504fbacked No50c196.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8748…a5cbbacked No50c196.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff6c…1bc6backed No51c196.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f4…2df3backed No50c195.76$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff6f…9e3cbacked No51c194.96$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe07c…71b9backed No51c194.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b09…e3d3backed No51c194$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2611…521ebacked No50c191.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8611…da80backed No50c191.17$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…3ea0backed No50c189.48$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ff…7898backed No50c187.97$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e94…21b8backed No50c187.37$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6016…97cdbacked No50c186.65$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.33425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f1e…009abacked No50c181.35$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe42…8e5cbacked No50c180.78$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed No41c167.52$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.182615.4%4 W · 22 L-6.7wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-76.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xaa7a…b823backed Yes28c155.43$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.212433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes33c104.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.573482.4%28 W · 6 L+7.1wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+44%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4513746%63 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7131…b3a6backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7059645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed No36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No34c95.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.554,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No69c75$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.754959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010971.6%78 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e21…dbe4backed Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4514949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Yes26c58.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.532763%17 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No71c57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.471,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed No36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No73c53.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.233345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes60c47.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1836462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes30c33.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.757150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x020b…78d4backed Yes77c26.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b2…dcc5backed No80c26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.691668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes67c25.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.251,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8048…a602backed No79c21.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick79cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c20.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked No75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.936041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a96…9797backed No75c17.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes72c16.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.