Euroleague · resolved market
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shenzhen Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28664ac6fa29eec26d2961dcef1c9ecddbbda0635dbe088801d373e194d7c71e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shenzhen Leopardsof Xinjiang Flying Tigers, Shenzhen Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b2…74b8backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 0c | 25,128$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 17c | 6,243$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.08 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Shenzhen Leopards | 80c | 2,428$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cb…b396backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 14c | 2,362$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 11c | 2,020$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.56 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 18c | 1,375$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.13 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 15c | 1,250$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 15c | 1,010$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 21c | 833.44$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 17c | 778.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 19c | 760.96$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 23c | 609.79$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.31 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 8c | 602.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…8137backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 18c | 543.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 7c | 539.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…acdebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 27c | 510.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 16c | 473.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73d…cbf8backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 11c | 400.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 19c | 364.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 19c | 340.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 17c | 335.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 263.23$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 5c | 255.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 20c | 238.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 17c | 226.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 14c | 205.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 12c | 196.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 19c | 177.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 19c | 153.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 11c | 151.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 20c | 142.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 17c | 139.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…c882backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 13c | 109.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 15c | 103.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…a38dbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…32c4backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 18c | 91.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 13c | 82.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…e2b5backed Shenzhen Leopards | 77c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 19c | 65.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 19c | 58.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Shenzhen Leopards | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 25c | 52.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 77c | 49.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Shenzhen Leopards | 75c | 38.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Shenzhen Leopards | 77c | 35.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shenzhen Leopards | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Shenzhen Leopards | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 80c | 14.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.