Ligue 1 · resolved market
OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c8ead9327fb199231bab651eab02e8b598d558598c3e31e74b6c73fc424406
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,847$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.2 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 50c | 658.68$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.58 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 52c | 646.3$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.13 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 49c | 558$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.16 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 507.43$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.52 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 50c | 475.62$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.81 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 52c | 422.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.66 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Yes | 51c | 254.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.59 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 49c | 119.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Yes | 51c | 84.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…c435backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 49c | 55.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Yes | 51c | 39.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 51c | 28.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 50c | 26.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…a77fbacked Yes | 50c | 26.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed No | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Yes | 51c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…9cc4backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: O/U 0.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: O/U 1.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Metz (-1.5)OGC Nice won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)FC Metz won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-2.5)FC Metz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.