NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4e1fd29cff5901556959a2f507fa5ef63322209555909967cd8bd0c6ec9d74d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Sabres, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.94 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Utah | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Sabres | 38c | 1,997$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 57c | 1,802$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.04 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sabres | 37c | 1,610$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.68 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Utah | 63c | 1,590$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.61 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Sabres | 34c | 1,505$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.65 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Sabres | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.17 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…f4f2backed Utah | 62c | 1,400$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah | 61c | 1,194$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.62 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Sabres | 45c | 1,150$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Sabres | 45c | 1,105$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Utah | 63c | 876.26$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.85 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed Utah | 62c | 774.19$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f982backed Sabres | 39c | 740.31$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Utah | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah | 54c | 571.82$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.04 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Utah | 74c | 485.21$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Sabres | 37c | 450$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Utah | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Utah | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Utah | 62c | 316.27$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.18 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Utah | 69c | 230.83$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Utah | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…9785backed Sabres | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…a524backed Sabres | 41c | 137.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…b4dfbacked Sabres | 39c | 105.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Utah | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Utah | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f67…e028backed Utah | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Sabres | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Utah | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Utah | 62c | 99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Utah | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Utah | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Utah | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Sabres | 37c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Sabres | 26c | 72.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…eee8backed Utah | 62c | 69.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Sabres | 38c | 68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Sabres | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Utah | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Sabres | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah | 60c | 63.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Sabres | 17c | 62.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c7…b16cbacked Utah | 62c | 60.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…80a0backed Utah | 62c | 56.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…1b88backed Utah | 62c | 52.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…67efbacked Sabres | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f30…75bdbacked Utah | 62c | 48.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…4816backed Sabres | 39c | 46.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…84d7backed Sabres | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Utah | 57c | 43.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…86c9backed Utah | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…3f7cbacked Sabres | 38c | 40.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Utah | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Sabres | 25c | 40.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…04babacked Sabres | 39c | 39.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…e039backed Utah | 62c | 35.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Utah | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Sabres | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9a…7033backed Sabres | 39c | 31.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5c…8e16backed Sabres | 38c | 30.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…563bbacked Utah | 63c | 28.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…7539backed Utah | 63c | 27.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5e…3588backed Sabres | 39c | 26.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Utah | 79c | 22.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…5217backed Utah | 62c | 21.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Utah | 75c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Utah | 71c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…27c4backed Utah | 63c | 19.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Utah | 63c | 18.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fa…d674backed Utah | 62c | 17.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…018fbacked Utah | 63c | 17.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.