Tennis · resolved market
Rome: Dalibor Svrcina vs Cezar Cretu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x208e8dbd81125bcad741730fc08c7838ad4b01cf24c4f35b94c5d1eb8f3201ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dalibor Svrcinaof Dalibor Svrcina, Cezar Cretu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea1d…0c46backed Cezar Cretu | 0c | 16,921$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cezar Cretu | 4c | 4,574$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.92 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cezar Cretu | 4c | 2,827$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…507bbacked Cezar Cretu | 18c | 554.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cezar Cretu | 6c | 403.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cezar Cretu | 6c | 329.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Dalibor Svrcina | 69c | 308.41$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.01 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Cezar Cretu | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…7465backed Cezar Cretu | 31c | 272.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +190%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Cezar Cretu | 12c | 228.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Cezar Cretu | 15c | 196.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Cezar Cretu | 30c | 179.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cezar Cretu | 10c | 169.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Dalibor Svrcina | 71c | 150.87$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Cezar Cretu | 13c | 142.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Dalibor Svrcina | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Dalibor Svrcina | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cezar Cretu | 29c | 116.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Cezar Cretu | 32c | 99.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…2239backed Cezar Cretu | 26c | 89.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Cezar Cretu | 28c | 83.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Cezar Cretu | 13c | 78.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Cezar Cretu | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Cezar Cretu | 29c | 66.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Cezar Cretu | 28c | 62.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cezar Cretu | 29c | 47.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Dalibor Svrcina | 68c | 46.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Cezar Cretu | 31c | 41.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Cezar Cretu | 26c | 39.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Cezar Cretu | 31c | 36.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Dalibor Svrcina | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.