TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a0b…0087

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Mls, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$57.89
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$21.08
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.29
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.12
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.45
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.92
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$25.69
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$45.43
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.78
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.92
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.21
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$127.66
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$41.27
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$76.14
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$23.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.